Did a lot of prospecting, the values in the table are the amount of each item I received per ore prospected
Elethium Ore x 3000
Essence of Torment: 132
Essence of Servitude: 238
Essence of Rebirth: 85
Essence of Valor:216
Prospecting 1000 Solenium Ore on PTR 9.1 got 59 Essence of Valor
! - Almost every uncommon ore has the same chance of giving you an essence!
Every ore has a 0.066 to 0.068 chance to yield one essence
This mean it take roughly 15 ore (a.k.a 1 ore divided by 0.067) to get one essence
Over the past, almost a year, I've kept a spreadsheet of my major prospecting sessions.
I have the data form roughly 275,000 ore that's generated roughly 18,500 essence
. I've kept this data and analyzed them with descriptive statistics to report the following.
My data is almost exclusively:
To yield: (
The complicated answer
The only ore that has a parametric outcome (i.e. will AVERAGE 1 essence per 15 ore) is
The other three,
, are nonparametrically distributed, which mean that a MEDIAN of 15 ore gets you one essence
I'm a big fan of stats if you can't tell! So what does this complicated answer mean?
When you're trying for just a bit of essence (Maybe
100 essence from
If you're trying to get
, you can roughly times the amount of essence you need by 15, buy that, and be regularly pretty close to what you want! Some times you get a bit more, maybe a but less, and that all seems to make solid sense. It has a normal bell curve right over 15 ore to get one essence, and it doesn't seem super crazy when you're a bit short or have a bit extra.
If you want less than 100
, good freaking luck! You'll end up with wildly too few or wildly too many all the time. The MEDIAN or the MOST times you really end up needing 15 but who the heck knows!
When you're trying for just a bit of essence (Maybe > 100 essence from > 1500 ore)
Larger sessions will end up neutralizing a lot of this strange variance. So if you want prospect a ton of ore for a ton of essence, all you need to estimate is a 15:1 ratio!
What's a ton? Roughly the quantity above or the amount of time between patches in Shadowland ;)
I tend to prospect 3000 ish ore a time with really reliable results
Happy crafting y'all!
Other helpful links:
Shadowlands Jewelcrafting Guide
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