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Chance to skill up on yellow/green recipes?
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So I was reading some of the profession leveling guides; there's a distinct lack of a systematic, well-diagrammed guide that everyone can agree on (with the exception of the fishing/cooking one, I suppose, due to the nature of fishing) that clearly stipulates the options available to would-be crafters of different economic backgrounds.
Does anybody happen to know the chance to skill up when using a recipe that is listed as yellow or green? I realize this may vary by profession and perhaps even by particular skill. WoWWiki had only this to say:
if a particular item goes from orange to yellow at 240 and from yellow to green at 255, the chance of skilling up will be almost as good as orange from 240-245, middling from 245-250, and barely better than green from 250-255.
So even within skills listed as yellow, there is a discrepancy in chance when the recipe is within 5 points of turning green.
What I want to know is the exact chance of skilling up, for every possible condition. This information could be used to construct some very specific guides for leveling, though the fact that I can't find this information means it probably doesn't exist. That in mind, some empirical testing may be necessary. Can anyone help me?
You will find that many guides do stipulate that there are varied amounts of items that need to be made to get so many points from them, usually specified that the item turns yellow at a certain point and you need to make about 5 more before it turns green etc.
You have to also remember, because we are talking chance and percentages, even if we had the exact equation that blizz uses for each item and profession etc, the fact that it isnt a given that 4 will make 1 point each, there will still be guessing. There will always be guessing involved, so all we can do it post onto guides that it took joe schmo 3 tries to get a point and mary 2 tries and luke got freaking lucky and did it in 1 try where you got raped and had to make 5 before you got one.
If you want to make sure to not waste any money, only gather the basic minimum mats, and then make one more at a time till you get your points. itll take longer but you wont waste money.
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